Our Family Summer in a Time of Fires We’re just back home after a couple of weeks at the big old family beach house. We had one stinking hot day, 40+ degrees, but, strangely, other days were cool to cold,…
Introduction to the New Statistics
The online community and blog for ITNS
Author: Geoff Cumming
Banishing “Black/White Thinking”
eNeuro publishes some teaching guidance You may recall that eNeuro published a great editorial and a supporting paper by Bob and me–mainly Bob. Info is here. It has now published a lovely article giving teaching advice about ways to undermine…
Farewell and Thanks Steve Lindsay
Psychological Science, the journal, has for years pushed hard for publication of better, more trustworthy research. First there was the leadership of Eric Eich, then Steve Lindsay energetically took the baton. Steve is about to finish, no doubt to his…
NeuRA Ahead of the Open Science Curve
I had great fun yesterday visiting NeuRA (Neuroscience Research Australia), a large research institute in Sydney. I was hosted by Simon Gandevia, Deputy Director, who has been a long-time proponent of Open Science and The New Statistics. Neura’s Research Quality…
I Join an RCT: A View From the Other Side
In ITNS we discuss randomized control trials (RCTs) and I’ve taught about them since whenever. If done well, they should provide gold standard evidence about the benefits and harms of a therapy. So I was particularly interested to be invited…
Replications: How Should We Analyze the Results?
Does This Effect Replicate? It seems almost irresistible to think in terms of such a dichotomous question! We seem to crave an ‘it-did’ or ‘it-didn’t’ answer! However, rarely if ever is a bald yes-no decision the most informative way to…
‘Preregistration’ or ‘Registration’?
For years, medicine has urged the ‘registration‘ of clinical trials before data collection starts. More recently, psychology has come to use the term ‘preregistration‘ for this vital component of Open Science. The ‘pre’ puts it in your face that it…
Congratulations Professor Fiona Fidler!
Just as the fabulous AIMOS Conference — one of Fiona’s most recent triumphs — was wrapping, it was announced officially that Fiona Fidler has been appointed as full PROFESSOR at the University of Melbourne. Wonderful news! Wow, when Simine Vazire…
AIMOS — The New Interdisciplinary Meta-Research and Open Science Association
Association for Interdisciplinary Meta-Research & Open Science (AIMOS) I had a fascinating two days down at the University of Melbourne last week for the first AIMOS conference. The program is here and you can click through to see details of…
Good Science Requires Unceasing Explanation and Advocacy
Recently in Australia a proposal was made for an “independent science quality assurance agency”. Justification for the proposal made specific reference to “the replication crisis” in science. Surely we can all support a call for quality assurance in science? Not…
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6475/240?utm_campaign=toc_sci-mag_2020-01-16&et_rid=17172836&et_cid=3167079
“In an era when every restaurant is obliged to publish on its front door the hygiene rating in their kitchen, we're seriously not saying whether a trial that costs millions of dollars has broken the law [...] by failing to report its results?”@bengoldacre
More evidence that superstition does not strongly influence performance.
https://econtent.hogrefe.com/doi/abs/10.1024/1010-0652/a000263
Still, the idea won't die. The original study was cited 29 times last year (2019) vs. 5 cites for the replications I conducted with @Fernie103 showing negligible effect.
Sensible reporting guidelines for exp bio: show the data, make confirm vs. exploratory clear, emphasize effect size and uncertainty. Good resource.
Two colleagues and I just published an editorial/review for how to present data and stats in experimental biology journals. It explains new guidelines adopted by three American pharmacology journals.
http://molpharm.aspetjournals.org/content/molpharm/97/1/49.full.pdf
Polisci types: Beyond voting, what are the most effective things I can do towards the 2020 elections? ($ to a pac? A candidate? Volunteer to canvas? Phone bank?)
What is actually helpful?
Never cared so much before. Not asking for a friend.
(@BrendanNyhan?)
Doing more with confidence intervals. https://replicationnetwork.com/2020/01/10/doing-more-with-confidence-intervals/
New Stats blog: Bushfires and Open Science: A View From Australia https://thenewstatistics.com/itns/2020/01/09/bushfires-and-open-science-a-view-from-australia/
Cheers to the guy who made psychological science—the journal and the field—better. https://twitter.com/dstephenlindsay/status/1212063000951021573
My last day as Editor of Psych Science. Whew! Best wishes for new Editor Patricia Bauer!
New publication from our research group in @NatureHumBehav showing that meta-analyses substantially overestimate effect sizes and that commonly used methods for bias adjustment do not substantively improve results: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-019-0787-z
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